I think we’ll be leaving the EU.

The bomb attacks on Brussels make me think that the majority of Britons will now vote “out”. Like most people, I don’t know whether this will be a good idea or not, but this is what I think will happen. Brussels is the heart of the EU, it’s a metonym for the EU and when the British people come to vote in June, these atrocities will still be fresh in their minds. They’ll now associate Brussels with terrorism. They’ll then remember what happened in Paris and they may feel, rightly or wrongly, that our close ties with the EU have somehow made us more vulnerable to attack. What happened today was a tragedy but let’s hope what happens in June doesn’t turn out to be another one.